Friday, August 19, 2005

interesting poll on DailyKos...

I think this has to do with who they want nominated in 2008, as a conservative the results are actually pretty surprising.

August dKos Straw Poll Results
by kos
Fri Aug 19th, 2005 at 11:30:08 PDT
Some movement this time.

dKos reader poll. 8/18-19. 8,710 respondents.

August July June

Clark 35 34 26
Feingold 16 10 10
H. Clinton 9 10 10
No Freakin' Clue 9 13 17
Edwards 7 7 8
Richardson 4 4 4
Other 4 4 7
Biden 3 3 3
Warner 3 5 5
Bayh 1 2 2
Kerry 1 2 2
Vilsack 0 0 0

One of the striking elements of these polls is the consistency in results. The Daily Kos community isn't representative of the overal Democratic electorate, but with 8,000+ respondents, it's a miniscule margin of error for our community's sentiments on the candidates.

So the big movement this time around was Feingold, who clearly got a boost for demanding a firm timeline for a withdrawal from Iraq. It's impossible to tell where his new support came from, but it's probably the drop in undecideds probably benefited him.

Bowers saw a similar shift toward Feingold in the MyDD poll, which is not comparable to this one (it uses IRV and includes fantasy candidates like Schweitzer and Gore). Bowers concludes that perhaps the Netroots might not be as non-ideological as I've been claiming.



The first such question is whether or not the netroots really are as non-ideological in their support of Democratic candidates as Markos of Dailykos claims they are. My answer is no, though by no means a complete departure from his position.



Problem is, Feingold still only at 16 percent, not exactly a ringing netroots endorsement for his bold Iraq stance.

If we were a single-issue or ideology-driven community, Feingold would be running away with this thing. He's unequivically against the war, cast the lone vote against the Patriot Act, and is the only true progressive in the current mix. And he can only muster 16 percent?

My thesis still holds. We are not an ideological community. We're a practical one.

Update: In case anyone is wondering about Clark's rise in support in July -- it was an issue of wording the question. I made clear in that post that neither Dean nor Gore would be running in 2008, hence the movement from "no freakin' clue" and "other" to Clark.


Wow, Billery isn't at the top, Clark could win if we don't nominate someone decent.

4 comments:

Ol' BC said...

I doubt Clark would win. Bayh could win. Bredesen (Gov. of Tenn) could win. Put them on the same ticket and they will win.

Ben said...

be careful underestimating these guys Ol'BC, remember how in 1992 no one thought Clinton could even get through the primaries?

The Zombieslayer said...

Screw Wesley Clark. I hate that guy.

"Let India have those jobs. We'll do other things here." That's my job he's talking about. I'd love to beat the s*** out of that guy.

Ben said...

ZS, I agree with you, but I'm just saying watch out for him. The biggest mistake we could make is to underestimate someone on the left.