Tuesday, August 17, 2010

Republican take over of Senate? It's possible

Well I just got thsi from Rasmussen Reports and this is my lazy post. No post tomorrow probably since its my bday.

New polling from Pennsylvania shifts that state’s Senate race from Toss-Up to Leans Republican in the Rasmussen Reports 2010 Balance of Power. To find out how Rasmussen Reports determines its Balance of Power rankings, click here.

Other polling released today finds that Ohio's Senate race has also shifted from Toss-Up to Leans Republican.

Also in recent polling, the first post-primary survey in Connecticut moves the state's senate race from Solid Democratic to Leans Democratic.

With three months to go, Rasmussen Reports polling shows that Republicans are poised to pick up Democratic-held Senate seats in three states— Arkansas, Indiana and North Dakota. One other is leaning that way--Delaware. Arkansas' Blanche Lincoln is the only incumbent senator currently projected to lose a seat. The others are open-seat races following retirements by Democratic incumbents.

At the moment, no Republican-held seats appear headed for the Democratic column.

Currently, there are four states in the Toss-Up category. Outside of the Toss-Ups, projections indicate that Democrats can probably count on having 51 Senate seats after Election Day, while Republicans will hold 45.

Three of the four Toss-up states are currently Democratic seats, while one is held by the GOP.

Among the three Democratic seats in the Toss-Up category, two are open seat races (Colorado and Illinois). The Democratic incumbent in the Toss-Up category is Russ Feingold of Wisconsin.

The Republican Toss-Up is found in Florida, where Republican Marco Rubio is essentially even with Independent Charlie Crist.

The state results and overall projections will be updated whenever new polling data justifies a change.

In the table below, the states marked in red currently have a Republican senator. Those in blue currently have a Democratic senator.

There are two independents in the Senate today, and Charlie Crist is running as an independent candidate in Florida. For purposes of the Balance of Power projections, all three are counted as Democrats.

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